Facing the financial risk, embracing the opportunity: How financial perceptions shape entrepreneurial behavior in recession periods
Abstract
Research background: Although bank credit is a widely used external source for businesses, access to this source becomes more limited during periods of economic recessions. Small firms and young entrepreneurs, in particular, may have a more pessimistic perception of bank lending accessibility due to their limited financial assets, lack of credit history, and insufficient financial statements, which cause information asymmetry. For these reasons, enterprises might have heightened perceptions of the bank credit application process, interest rates, and credit conditions that discourage them from undertaking entrepreneurial initiatives, leading to lower entrepreneurial intention (EI).
Purpose of the article: This paper examines whether a more intense perception difficulty in accessing bank credit is negatively associated with EI.
Methods: The paper analyzes 1367 firm executives who are purposively selected based on their job status. Ordinal Logistic Regression analysis is applied to perform research analyses.
Findings & value added: The findings reveal that a negative relationship exists between a more intense perception of credit access conditions and EI. The respondents who consider access to finance, credit conditions, and interest rates as inappropriate report greater EI, and vice versa. The results can be explained by Institutional Theory-related factors, such as banking sector competitiveness and economic development of countries. This paper makes several theoretical and practical contributions, including the integration of RBV and TPB approaches that represent the importance of financial management and entrepreneurial capabilities, respectively. On a practical level, the generation of soft loans and gaining insights into entrepreneurs are some practical contributions that borrowers and lenders can benefit from during times of economic downturn.
Keywords
financial risk management, entrepreneurial intention, Resource-based View, Theory of Planned Behavior, bank credit conditions
References
- Ajzen, I. (1991). The theory of planned behavior. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 50(2), 179–211.
View in Google Scholar - Almeida, A., & Garrod, B. (2024). Drivers and inhibitors of entrepreneurship in Europe’s Outermost Regions: Implications for entrepreneurship education. International Journal of Management Education, 22(2), 100975.
View in Google Scholar - Aragon-Sanchez, A., Baixauli-Soler, S., & Carrasco-Hernandez, A. J. (2017). A missing link: The behavioral mediators between resources and entrepreneurial intentions. International Journal of Entrepreneurial Behavior & Research, 23(5), 752–768.
View in Google Scholar - Arranz, N., Arroyabe, M. F., & Fdez. de Arroyabe, J. C. (2019). Entrepreneurial intention and obstacles of undergraduate students: The case of the universities of Andalusia. Studies in Higher Education, 44(11), 2011–2024.
View in Google Scholar - Barney, J. (1991). Special theory forum the resource-based model of the firm: Origins, implications, and prospects. Journal of Management, 17(1), 97–98.
View in Google Scholar - Ben, S. (2025). Entrepreneurial intention: An empirical analysis of nine countries based on gem. International Journal of Entrepreneurial Knowledge, 13(1), 43–56.
View in Google Scholar - Bigelli, M., Martín-Ugedo, J. F., & Sánchez-Vidal, F. J. (2014). Financial conservatism of private firms. Journal of Business Research, 67, 2419–2427.
View in Google Scholar - Bilal, A. R., Rosato, P., Campo, R., & Leopizzi, R. (2023). Women empowerment and entrepreneurial intention: A pathway to achieve sustainable development goal (SDG‐5). Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 30(3), 1389–1405.
View in Google Scholar - Bilan, Y., Simionescu, M., Mentel, G., & Rozsa, Z. (2019). The role of education, individual and economic factors in entrepreneurial initiatives: A microeconomic approach for the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland. E & M. Ekonomie a Management, 22(4), 85–102.
View in Google Scholar - Bond, E. W., Tybout, J., & Utar, H. (2015). Credit rationing, risk aversion, and industrial evolution in developing countries. International Economic Review, 56(3), 695–722.
View in Google Scholar - Canton, E., Grilo, I., Monteagudo, J., & Van der Zwan, P. (2013). Perceived credit constraints in the European Union. Small Business Economics, 41, 701–715.
View in Google Scholar - Casey, E., & O'Toole, C. M. (2014). Bank lending constraints, trade credit and alternative financing during the financial crisis: Evidence from European SMEs. Journal of Corporate Finance, 27, 173–193.
View in Google Scholar - Civelek, M., Ključnikova, J., Kloudová, J., Veselá, Z., & Ključnikov, A. (2024). From intention to action: Understanding bank credit access through the lens of the theory of planned behavior. Oeconomia Copernicana, 15(2), 683–715.
View in Google Scholar - Civelek, M., Krajčík, V., & Fialova, V. (2023b). The impacts of innovative and competitive abilities of SMEs on their different financial risk concerns: System approach. Oeconomia Copernicana, 14(1), 327–354.
View in Google Scholar - Civelek, M., Krajčík, V., & Ključnikov, A. (2023a). The impacts of dynamic capabilities on SMEs’ digital transformation process: The resource-based view perspective. Oeconomia Copernicana, 14(4), 1367–1392.
View in Google Scholar - Comeig, I., Fernández-Blanco, M. O., & Ramírez, F. (2015). Information acquisition in SME's relationship lending and the cost of loans. Journal of Business Research, 68(7), 1650–1652.
View in Google Scholar - Cowling, M., & Dvouletý, O. (2023). UK government-backed start-up loans: Tackling disadvantage and credit rationing of new entrepreneurs. International Small Business Journal, 41(7), 714–733.
View in Google Scholar - Cowling, M., Liu, W., Minniti, M., & Zhang, N. (2016). UK credit and discouragement during the GFC. Small Business Economics, 47(4), 1049–1074.
View in Google Scholar - Dong, Y., & Men, C. (2014). SME financing in emerging markets: Firm characteristics, banking structure and institutions. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 50(1), 120–149.
View in Google Scholar - Duarte, F. D., Gama, A. P. M., & Esperança, J. P. (2017). Collateral-based in SME lending: The role of business collateral and personal collateral in less-developed countries. Research in International Business and Finance, 39, 406–422. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.07.005.
View in Google Scholar - Eurostat (2025). Retrieved from https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Glossary:Herfindahl_Hirschman_Index_(HHI)#:~:te xt=The%20Herfindahl%E2%80%93Hirschman%20Index%20(HHI,used%20to%20determine%20market%20competitiveness (14.03.2025).
View in Google Scholar - Fang, L., He, L., & Huang, Z. (2019). Asymmetric effects of monetary policy on firm scale in China: A quantile regression approach. Emerging Markets Review, 38, 35–50.
View in Google Scholar - Farè, L., Dejardin, M., & Toulemonde, E. (2024). Bankruptcy recovery rate and small businesses’ innovation. Applied Economics, 56(32), 3870–3903.
View in Google Scholar - Filser, M., Eggers, F., Kraus, S., & Málovics, É. (2014). The effect of financial resource availability on entrepreneurial orientation, customer orientation and firm performance in an international context: An empirical analysis from Austria and Hungary. Journal of East European Management Studies, 19(1), 7–30.
View in Google Scholar - Ghosh, S. (2017). Regulation and entrepreneurial intention: Cross-country evidence. Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy, 6(2), 193–205.
View in Google Scholar - Gil-Soto, E., García-Rodríguez, F. J., Ruiz-Rosa, I., & Gutiérrez-Taño, D. (2024). Economic context and entrepreneurial intention: Analysis of individuals’ perceptions in a Spanish University Context. Entrepreneurship Research Journal, 14(2), 707–734.
View in Google Scholar - Harb, A., Alakaleek, W., Hatough-Bouran, S., Freewan, A., Al-Harahsheh, A. Y., & Al-Maaitah, H. (2025). Empowering women homepreneurs in tourism and hospitality: entrepreneurial competencies and learning approach. Journal of Tourism and Services, 16(30), 165–189.
View in Google Scholar - Harrell, F. E. (2015). Regression modeling strategies. New York: Springer.
View in Google Scholar - Haruna, A., Sahel, W., Wirajing, M. A. K., & Herman, P. R. (2025). Steadfast in crisis: Can Islamic finance enhance Cameroonian SMEs’ resilience strategies against the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia/Ukraine war?. Borsa Istanbul Review, 25(3), 633–647.
View in Google Scholar - Hashim, N., Set, K., Nordin, A. O. S., & Mokhtar, N. F. (2025). The moderating effects of perceived risk in the water theme park industry: Applying the extended theory of planned behaviour. Journal of Tourism and Services, 16(30), 73–98.
View in Google Scholar - Hernández-Sánchez, B. R., Cardella, G. M., & Sánchez-García, J. C. (2020). Psychological factors that lessen the impact of COVID-19 on the self-employment intention of business administration and economics’ students from Latin America. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(15), 5293.
View in Google Scholar - Hoda, N., Ahmad, N., Gupta, S. L., Alam, M. M., & Ahmad, I. (2021). Application of entrepreneurial intention model in comparative international entrepreneurship research: a cross-cultural study of India and Saudi Arabia. Sustainability, 13(23), 13369.
View in Google Scholar - Honjo, Y., Ono, A., & Tsuruta, D. (2024). The effect of physical collateral and personal guarantees on business startups. Journal of Economics and Business, 130, 106172.
View in Google Scholar - Iddouch, K., & Jaoual, O. (2025). Entrepreneurial ecosystem as a catalyst for economic growth: A global empirical evidence using a novel composite index. International Journal of Entrepreneurial Knowledge,13(1), 106–141.
View in Google Scholar - Jenkins, H., & Hossain, M. (2017). An analysis of the macroeconomic conditions required for SME lending: Evidence from Turkey and other emerging market countries. Panoeconomicus, 64(1), 77–92.
View in Google Scholar - Karas, M. (2022). The hazard model for european smes: Combining accounting and macroeconomic variables. Journal of Competitiveness, 14(3), 76–92.
View in Google Scholar - Klyver, K., & McMullen, J. S. (2025). Rethinking entrepreneurship in causally entangled crises: A poly-crisis perspective. Journal of Business Venturing, 40(1). 106459.
View in Google Scholar - Kuděj, M., Civelek, M., Erben, M., Masárová, J., & Kubálek, J. (2023). Navigating global markets: The role of enterprise risk management and human resource management in SME international expansions. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 18(4), 1075–1103.
View in Google Scholar - Liu, C. Y., & Nazareno, L. (2024). State responses during the COVID-19 pandemic and their impacts on small businesses. Small Business Economics, 64(2), 625-643.
View in Google Scholar - Lopes, J. M., Gomes, S., Santos, T., Oliveira, M., & Oliveira, J. (2021). Entrepreneurial intention before and during COVID-19: A case study on Portuguese university students. Education Sciences, 11(6), 273.
View in Google Scholar - Luc, P. T. (2018). The relationship between perceived access to finance and social entrepreneurship intentions among university students in Vietnam. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 5(1), 63–72.
View in Google Scholar - Madeira, C. (2019). The impact of interest rate ceilings on households’ credit access: Evidence from a 2013 Chilean Legislation. Journal of Banking & Finance, 106, 166–179.
View in Google Scholar - Majková, M. M. (2016). The relationship between the risk of a change of the interest rate and the age of entrepreneurs among Slovak SMEs. Journal of Competitiveness, 8(3), 125–138.
View in Google Scholar - Marjit, S., & Mishra, S. (2023). Credit market imperfection, lack of entrepreneurship and capital outflow from a developing economy. Review of Development Economics, 27(3), 1855–1873.
View in Google Scholar - Nabi, G., & Liñán, F. (2013). Considering business start-up in recession time: The role of risk perception and economic context in shaping the entrepreneurial intention. International Journal of Entrepreneurial Behavior & Research, 19(6), 633–655.
View in Google Scholar - Naegels, V., Mori, N., & D’Espallier, B. (2018). An institutional view on access to finance by Tanzanian women-owned enterprises. Venture Capital, 20(2), 191–210.
View in Google Scholar - Neuberger, D., & Räthke-Döppner, S. (2014). The role of demographic in small business loan pricing. Small Business Economics, 44(2), 411–424.
View in Google Scholar - Nguyen, T. T. (2020). The impact of access to finance and environmental factors on entrepreneurial intention: The mediator role of entrepreneurial behavioural control. Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, 8(2), 127–140.
View in Google Scholar - Nuseir, M. T., Basheer, M. F., & Aljumah, A. (2020). Antecedents of entrepreneurial intentions in smart city of Neom Saudi Arabia: Does the entrepreneurial education on artificial intelligence matter?. Cogent Business & Management, 7(1), 1825041.
View in Google Scholar - Poliakova, A., Hamarneh, I., Jibril, A. B., & Kicova, E. (2024). The interconnections between CSR, financial management, and sustainability in service sector SMEs. Journal of Tourism and Services, 15(29), 227–247.
View in Google Scholar - Rajamani, K., Jan, N. A., Subramani, A. K., & Raj, A. N. (2022). Access to finance: challenges faced by micro, small, and medium enterprises in India. Engineering Economics, 33(1), 73–85.
View in Google Scholar - Riding, A., Orser, B. J., Spence, M., & Belanger, B. (2012). Financing new venture exporters. Small Business Economics, 38(2), 147–163.
View in Google Scholar - Roa, M. J., Villegas, A., & Garrón, I. (2022). Interest rate caps on microcredit: Evidence from a natural experiment in Bolivia. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 14(2), 125–142.
View in Google Scholar - Robson, P., Akuetteh, C., Stone, I., Westhead, P., & Wright, M. (2013). Credit-rationing and entrepreneurial experience: Evidence from a resource deficit context. Entrepreneurship & Regional Development, 25(5-6), 349–370.
View in Google Scholar - Rodic Lukic, V., Maric, M., & Brankovic, N. (2024). Model of predicting entrepreneurial intentions among teachers. International Journal of Entrepreneurial Knowledge, 12(1), 43–57.
View in Google Scholar - Rostamkalaei, A., & Freel, M. (2015). The cost of growth: Small firms and the pricing of bank loans. Small Business Economics, 46(2), 255–272.
View in Google Scholar - Rusu, V. D., Roman, A., & Tudose, M. B. (2022). Determinants of entrepreneurial intentions of youth: The role of access to finance. Engineering Economics, 33(1), 86–102.
View in Google Scholar - Sabary, G. S., & Ključnikov, A. (2023). Barriers to immigrant entrepreneurship: A causal relationonship analysis of the Asian immigrant entrepreneurs in Germany employing the DEMATEL approach. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 18(2), 491–522.
View in Google Scholar - Sabary, G. S., Durda, L., Asad, A. I., & Ključnikov, A. (2023). Key motivational factors behind Asian immigrant entrepreneurship: A causal relationship analysis employing the DEMATEL approach for Germany. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 18(1), 287–318. hpps://doi.org/10.24136/eq.2023.009.
View in Google Scholar - Sandhu, M. S., Sidique, S. F., & Riaz, S. (2011). Entrepreneurship barriers and entrepreneurial inclination among Malaysian postgraduate students. International Journal of Entrepreneurial Behavior& Research, 17(4), 428–449.
View in Google Scholar - Saoula, O., Abid, M. F., Ahmad, M. J., & Shamim, A. (2025). What drives entrepreneurial intentions? Interplay between entrepreneurial education, financial support, role models and attitude towards entrepreneurship. Asia Pacific Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, 19(2), 128–148.
View in Google Scholar - Sharma, G. D., Kraus, S., Talan, A., Srivastava, M., & Theodoraki, C. (2024). Navigating the storm: The SME way of tackling the pandemic crisis. Small Business Economics, 63(1), 221–241.
View in Google Scholar - Strýčková, L. (2015). Factors determining the corporate capital structure in the Czech Republic from the perspective of business entities. E + M Ekonomie A Management, 1(2), 40–57.
View in Google Scholar - Sun, S. L., & Im, J. (2015). Cutting microfinance interest rates: An opportunity co–creation perspective. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 39(1), 101–128.
View in Google Scholar - Svotwa, T. D., Jaiyeoba, O., Roberts-Lombard, M., & Makanyeza, C. (2022). Perceived access to finance, entrepreneurial self-efficacy, attitude toward entrepreneurship, entrepreneurial ability, and entrepreneurial intentions: A Botswana youth perspective. Sage Open, 12(2), 1–18.
View in Google Scholar - Vlach, J., Smutka, L., Mrkvička, T., Čábelková, I., Parmová, D. Š., & Moravcová, J. (2025). Financial dynamics and strategic growth in sugar industry: Comparative analysis of Central and Eastern Europe (2013–2022). Ukrainian Food Journal, 14(1), 164–183.
View in Google Scholar - Wei, Z., Lee, M. J., Jia, Z., & Roh, T. (2023). Do entrepreneurial resources drive startup activation? Mediating effect of entrepreneurial orientation. Heliyon, 9(4). 1–11,
View in Google Scholar - Welsh, D. H., Othman, D., Alserhan, B., Zeqiri, J., Al-Madadha, A., & Ramadani, V. (2022). The impact of the international crisis on the entrepreneurial intentions of refugees. International Journal of Entrepreneurial Behavior & Research, 28(3), 720-740.
View in Google Scholar - WITS. (2025). World integrated trade solutions, HHI statistics 2022. World Bank.
View in Google Scholar - World Bank. (2024). GDP per capita by country. Retrieved from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?most_recent_value_desc=true (29.05.2025).
View in Google Scholar - Xu, B., Zhang, S., & Chen, X. (2021). Uncertainty in financing interest rates for startups. Industrial Marketing Management, 94, 150–158.
View in Google Scholar - Yang, X., Gu, X., & Yang, X. (2023b). Firm age and loan financing with patents as collateral of Chinese startups: The roles of innovations and experience. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 32(3), 343–369.
View in Google Scholar - Yang, X., Zhang, H., Hu, D., & Wu, B. (2023a). The timing dilemma: Understanding the determinants of innovative startups’ patent collateralization for loans. Small Business Economics, 60(1), 371–403.
View in Google Scholar - Yousafzai, S. Y., Saeed, S., & Muffatto, M. (2015). Institutional theory and contextual embeddedness of women’s entrepreneurial leadership: Evidence from 92 countries. Journal of Small Business Management, 53(3), 587–604.
View in Google Scholar